Enhancement of mammographic density measures in breast cancer risk prediction.

BACKGROUND Mammographic density is a strong risk factor for breast cancer. METHODS We present a novel approach to enhance area density measures that takes advantage of the relative density of the pectoral muscle that appears in lateral mammographic views. We hypothesized that the grey scale of film mammograms is normalized to volume breast density but not pectoral density and thus pectoral density becomes an independent marker of volumetric density. RESULTS From analysis of data from a Swedish case-control study (1,286 breast cancer cases and 1,391 control subjects, ages 50-75 years), we found that the mean intensity of the pectoral muscle (MIP) was highly associated with breast cancer risk [per SD: OR = 0.82; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.75-0.88; P = 6 × 10(-7)] after adjusting for a validated computer-assisted measure of percent density (PD), Cumulus. The area under curve (AUC) changed from 0.600 to 0.618 due to using PD with the pectoral muscle as reference instead of a standard area-based PD measure. We showed that MIP is associated with a genetic variant known to be associated with mammographic density and breast cancer risk, rs10995190, in a subset of women with genetic data. We further replicated the association between MIP and rs10995190 in an additional cohort of 2,655 breast cancer cases (combined P = 0.0002). CONCLUSIONS MIP is a marker of volumetric density that can be used to complement area PD in mammographic density studies and breast cancer risk assessment. IMPACT Inclusion of MIP in risk models should be considered for studies using area PD from analog films.